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<h2> SECT. VI. OF THE INFERENCE FROM THE IMPRESSION TO THE IDEA. </h2>
<p>It is easy to observe, that in tracing this relation, the inference we
draw from cause to effect, is not derived merely from a survey of these
particular objects, and from such a penetration into their essences as may
discover the dependance of the one upon the other. There is no object,
which implies the existence of any other if we consider these objects in
themselves, and never look beyond the ideas which we form of them. Such an
inference would amount to knowledge, and would imply the absolute
contradiction and impossibility of conceiving any thing different. But as
all distinct ideas are separable, it is evident there can be no
impossibility of that kind. When we pass from a present impression to the
idea of any object, we might possibly have separated the idea from the
impression, and have substituted any other idea in its room.</p>
<p>It is therefore by EXPERIENCE only, that we can infer the existence of one
object from that of another. The nature of experience is this. We remember
to have had frequent instances of the existence of one species of objects;
and also remember, that the individuals of another species of objects have
always attended them, and have existed in a regular order of contiguity
and succession with regard to them. Thus we remember, to have seen that
species of object we call flame, and to have felt that species of
sensation we call heat. We likewise call to mind their constant
conjunction in all past instances. Without any farther ceremony, we call
the one cause and the other effect, and infer the existence of the one
from that of the other. In all those instances, from which we learn the
conjunction of particular causes and effects, both the causes and effects
have been perceived by the senses, and are remembered But in all cases,
wherein we reason concerning them, there is only one perceived or
remembered, and the other is supplyed in conformity to our past
experience.</p>
<p>Thus in advancing we have insensibly discovered a new relation betwixt
cause and effect, when we least expected it, and were entirely employed
upon another subject. This relation is their CONSTANT CONJUNCTION.
Contiguity and succession are not sufficient to make us pronounce any two
objects to be cause and effect, unless we perceive, that these two
relations are preserved in several instances. We may now see the advantage
of quitting the direct survey of this relation, in order to discover the
nature of that necessary connexion, which makes so essential a part of it.
There are hopes, that by this means we may at last arrive at our proposed
end; though to tell the truth, this new-discovered relation of a constant
conjunction seems to advance us but very little in our way. For it implies
no more than this, that like objects have always been placed in like
relations of contiguity and succession; and it seems evident, at least at
first sight, that by this means we can never discover any new idea, and
can only multiply, but not enlarge the objects of our mind. It may be
thought, that what we learn not from one object, we can never learn from a
hundred, which are all of the same kind, and are perfectly resembling in
every circumstance. As our senses shew us in one instance two bodies, or
motions, or qualities in certain relations of success and contiguity; so
our memory presents us only with a multitude of instances, wherein we
always find like bodies, motions, or qualities in like relations. From the
mere repetition of any past impression, even to infinity, there never will
arise any new original idea, such as that of a necessary connexion; and
the number of impressions has in this case no more effect than if we
confined ourselves to one only. But though this reasoning seems just and
obvious; yet as it would be folly to despair too soon, we shall continue
the thread of our discourse; and having found, that after the discovery of
the constant conjunction of any objects, we always draw an inference from
one object to another, we shall now examine the nature of that inference,
and of the transition from the impression to the idea. Perhaps it will
appear in the end, that the necessary connexion depends on the inference,
instead of the inference's depending on the necessary connexion.</p>
<p>Since it appears, that the transition from an impression present to the
memory or senses to the idea of an object, which we call cause or effect,
is founded on past experience, and on our remembrance of their constant
conjunction, the next question is, Whether experience produces the idea by
means of the understanding or imagination; whether we are determined by
reason to make the transition, or by a certain association and relation of
perceptions. If reason determined us, it would proceed upon that
principle, that instances, of which we have had no experience, must
resemble those, of which we have had experience, and that the course of
nature continues always uniformly the same. In order therefore to clear up
this matter, let us consider all the arguments, upon which such a
proposition may be supposed to be founded; and as these must be derived
either from knowledge or probability, let us cast our eye on each of these
degrees of evidence, and see whether they afford any just conclusion of
this nature.</p>
<p>Our foregoing method of reasoning will easily convince us, that there can
be no demonstrative arguments to prove, that those instances, of which we
have, had no experience, resemble those, of which we have had experience.
We can at least conceive a change in the course of nature; which
sufficiently proves, that such a change is not absolutely impossible. To
form a clear idea of any thing, is an undeniable argument for its
possibility, and is alone a refutation of any pretended demonstration
against it.</p>
<p>Probability, as it discovers not the relations of ideas, considered as
such, but only those of objects, must in some respects be founded on the
impressions of our memory and senses, and in some respects on our ideas.
Were there no mixture of any impression in our probable reasonings, the
conclusion would be entirely chimerical: And were there no mixture of
ideas, the action of the mind, in observing the relation, would, properly
speaking, be sensation, not reasoning. It is therefore necessary, that in
all probable reasonings there be something present to the mind, either
seen or remembered; and that from this we infer something connected with
it, which is not seen nor remembered.</p>
<p>The only connexion or relation of objects, which can lead us beyond the
immediate impressions of our memory and senses, is that of cause and
effect; and that because it is the only one, on which we can found a just
inference from one object to another. The idea of cause and effect is
derived from experience, which informs us, that such particular objects,
in all past instances, have been constantly conjoined with each other: And
as an object similar to one of these is supposed to be immediately present
in its impression, we thence presume on the existence of one similar to
its usual attendant. According to this account of things, which is, I
think, in every point unquestionable, probability is founded on the
presumption of a resemblance betwixt those objects, of which we have had
experience, and those, of which we have had none; and therefore it is
impossible this presumption can arise from probability. The same principle
cannot be both the cause and effect of another; and this is, perhaps, the
only proposition concerning that relation, which is either intuitively or
demonstratively certain.</p>
<p>Should any one think to elude this argument; and without determining
whether our reasoning on this subject be derived from demonstration or
probability, pretend that all conclusions from causes and effects are
built on solid reasoning: I can only desire, that this reasoning may be
produced, in order to be exposed to our examination. It may, perhaps, be
said, that after experience of the constant conjunction of certain
objects, we reason in the following manner. Such an object is always found
to produce another. It is impossible it coued have this effect, if it was
not endowed with a power of production. The power necessarily implies the
effect; and therefore there is a just foundation for drawing a conclusion
from the existence of one object to that of its usual attendant. The past
production implies a power: The power implies a new production: And the
new production is what we infer from the power and the past production.</p>
<p>It were easy for me to shew the weakness of this reasoning, were I willing
to make use of those observations, I have already made, that the idea of
production is the same with that of causation, and that no existence
certainly and demonstratively implies a power in any other object; or were
it proper to anticipate what I shall have occasion to remark afterwards
concerning the idea we form of power and efficacy. But as such a method of
proceeding may seem either to weaken my system, by resting one part of it
on another, or to breed a confusion in my reasoning, I shall endeavour to
maintain my present assertion without any such assistance.</p>
<p>It shall therefore be allowed for a moment, that the production of one
object by another in any one instance implies a power; and that this power
is connected with its effect. But it having been already proved, that the
power lies not in the sensible qualities of the cause; and there being
nothing but the sensible qualities present to us; I ask, why in other
instances you presume that the same power still exists, merely upon the
appearance of these qualities? Your appeal to past experience decides
nothing in the present case; and at the utmost can only prove, that that
very object, which produced any other, was at that very instant endowed
with such a power; but can never prove, that the same power must continue
in the same object or collection of sensible qualities; much less, that a
like power is always conjoined with like sensible qualities, should it be
said, that we have experience, that the same power continues united with
the same object, and that like objects are endowed with like powers, I
would renew my question, why from this experience we form any conclusion
beyond those past instances, of which we have had experience. If you
answer this question in, the same manner as the preceding, your answer
gives still occasion to a new question of the same kind, even in
infinitum; which clearly proves, that the foregoing reasoning had no just
foundation.</p>
<p>Thus not only our reason fails us in the discovery of the ultimate
connexion of causes and effects, but even after experience has informed us
of their constant conjunction, it is impossible for us to satisfy
ourselves by our reason, why we should extend that experience beyond those
particular instances, which have fallen under our observation. We suppose,
but are never able to prove, that there must be a resemblance betwixt
those objects, of which we have had experience, and those which lie beyond
the reach of our discovery.</p>
<p>We have already taken notice of certain relations, which make us pass from
one object to another, even though there be no reason to determine us to
that transition; and this we may establish for a general rule, that
wherever the mind constantly and uniformly makes a transition without any
reason, it is influenced by these relations. Now this is exactly the
present case. Reason can never shew us the connexion of one object with
another, though aided by experience, and the observation of their constant
conjunction in all past instances. When the mind, therefore, passes from
the idea or impression of one object to the idea or belief of another, it
is not determined by reason, but by certain principles, which associate
together the ideas of these objects, and unite them in the imagination.
Had ideas no more union in the fancy than objects seem to have to the
understanding, we coued never draw any inference from causes to effects,
nor repose belief in any matter of fact. The inference, therefore, depends
solely on the union of ideas.</p>
<p>The principles of union among ideas, I have reduced to three general ones,
and have asserted, that the idea or impression of any object naturally
introduces the idea of any other object, that is resembling, contiguous
to, or connected with it. These principles I allow to be neither the
infallible nor the sole causes of an union among ideas. They are not the
infallible causes. For one may fix his attention during Sometime on any
one object without looking farther. They are not the sole causes. For the
thought has evidently a very irregular motion in running along its
objects, and may leap from the heavens to the earth, from one end of the
creation to the other, without any certain method or order. But though I
allow this weakness in these three relations, and this irregularity in the
imagination; yet I assert that the only general principles, which
associate ideas, are resemblance, contiguity and causation.</p>
<p>There is indeed a principle of union among ideas, which at first sight may
be esteemed different from any of these, but will be found at the bottom
to depend on the same origin. When every individual of any species of
objects is found by experience to be constantly united with an individual
of another species, the appearance of any new individual of either species
naturally conveys the thought to its usual attendant. Thus because such a
particular idea is commonly annexed to such a particular word, nothing is
required but the hearing of that word to produce the correspondent idea;
and it will scarce be possible for the mind, by its utmost efforts, to
prevent that transition. In this case it is not absolutely necessary, that
upon hearing such a particular sound we should reflect on any past
experience, and consider what idea has been usually connected with the
sound. The imagination of itself supplies the place of this reflection,
and is so accustomed to pass from the word to the idea, that it interposes
not a moment's delay betwixt the hearing of the one, and the conception of
the other.</p>
<p>But though I acknowledge this to be a true principle of association among
ideas, I assert it to be the very same with that betwixt the ideas of
cause and effects and to be an essential part in all our reasonings from
that relation. We have no other notion of cause and effect, but that of
certain objects, which have been always conjoined together, and which in
all past instances have been found inseparable. We cannot penetrate into
the reason of the conjunction. We only observe the thing itself, and
always find that from the constant conjunction the objects acquire an
union in the imagination. When the impression of one becomes present to
us, we immediately form an idea of its usual attendant; and consequently
we may establish this as one part of the definition of an opinion or
belief, that it is an idea related to or associated with a present
impression.</p>
<p>Thus though causation be a philosophical relation, as implying contiguity,
succession, and constant conjunction, yet it is only so far as it is a
natural relation, and produces an union among our ideas, that we are able
to reason upon it, or draw any inference from it.</p>
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