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<h2> SECT. IV. OF THE COMPONENT PARTS OF OUR REASONINGS CONCERNING CAUSE AND EFFECT. </h2>
<p>Though the mind in its reasonings from causes or effects carries its view
beyond those objects, which it sees or remembers, it must never lose sight
of them entirely, nor reason merely upon its own ideas, without some
mixture of impressions, or at least of ideas of the memory, which are
equivalent to impressions. When we infer effects from causes, we must
establish the existence of these causes; which we have only two ways of
doing, either by an immediate perception of our memory or senses, or by an
inference from other causes; which causes again we must ascertain in the
same manner, either by a present impression, or by an inference from their
causes, and so on, till we arrive at some object, which we see or
remember. It is impossible for us to carry on our inferences IN INFINITUM;
and the only thing, that can stop them, is an impression of the memory or
senses, beyond which there is no room for doubt or enquiry.</p>
<p>To give an instance of this, we may chuse any point of history, and
consider for what reason we either believe or reject it. Thus we believe
that Caesar was killed in the senate-house on the ides of March; and that
because this fact is established on the unanimous testimony of historians,
who agree to assign this precise time and place to that event. Here are
certain characters and letters present either to our memory or senses;
which characters we likewise remember to have been used as the signs of
certain ideas; and these ideas were either in the minds of such as were
immediately present at that action, and received the ideas directly from
its existence; or they were derived from the testimony of others, and that
again from another testimony, by a visible gradation, it will we arrive at
those who were eyewitnesses and spectators of the event. It is obvious all
this chain of argument or connexion of causes and effects, is at first
founded on those characters or letters, which are seen or remembered, and
that without the authority either of the memory or senses our whole
reasoning would be chimerical and without foundation. Every link of the
chain would in that case hang upon another; but there would not be any
thing fixed to one end of it, capable of sustaining the whole; and
consequently there would be no belief nor evidence. And this actually is
the case with all hypothetical arguments, or reasonings upon a
supposition; there being in them, neither any present impression, nor
belief of a real existence.</p>
<p>I need not observe, that it is no just objection to the present doctrine,
that we can reason upon our past conclusions or principles, without having
recourse to those impressions, from which they first arose. For even
supposing these impressions should be entirely effaced from the memory,
the conviction they produced may still remain; and it is equally true,
that all reasonings concerning causes and effects are originally derived
from some impression; in the same manner, as the assurance of a
demonstration proceeds always from a comparison of ideas, though it may
continue after the comparison is forgot.</p>
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